Blu-ray’s Fuzzy Future

[filterxpert]

I think you guys are missing the big zinger here!

Blu-ray's future is more dependent on the impact of the Ipod users.
If the marketing teams don't wise up and include the movie in an easily transfer to ipod or other media device they will die a painfully slow death.
Horton had a ipod version on the DVD only not Blu-ray. Empty shelf dvd 3/4 full blu.

People buy movies and music where it is easy, soon walmart will launch digital movie downloads end game blu-ray.

I know compression blah bah blah but who says you can't use SD cards with a time-bomb for rentals?
MAybe the format of the future will be a sandisk.... I'm buying there stock as we speak.
P.S. don't forget the iPhone 15 million users.... Thats a huge potential market for the digital download world.

I give Blu-ray till march 2010

[MatrixDweller]

Wouldn't offering downloads open up a big hole for pirates to redistribute movies over the internet? Why would a movie studio back that?

I also agree with the download time discussion. For it to be viable you'd need a direct fiber connection like an OC3 (155mbps) which costs 10's of thousands a month to lease. Even then a 30GB movie would take almost 30 minutes to download. It could be streamed at that speed though. My "high speed" connection is currently only 3.2mbps. I think we have a long way to go in the bandwidth department before downloads become viable.

What happens when things go Cinema 2K/4K or when/if Deep Color actually materializes?

[filterxpert]

Originally Posted by MatrixDweller

Wouldn't offering downloads open up a big hole for pirates to redistribute movies over the internet? Why would a movie studio back that?

I also agree with the download time discussion. For it to be viable you'd need a direct fiber connection like an OC3 (155mbps) which costs 10's of thousands a month to lease. Even then a 30GB movie would take almost 30 minutes to download. It could be streamed at that speed though. My "high speed" connection is currently only 3.2mbps. I think we have a long way to go in the bandwidth department before downloads become viable.

What happens when things go Cinema 2K/4K or when/if Deep Color actually materializes?

That is all true but you may not know that programs like popcorn/toast give the ability to make rip files currently of Blu and DVD.

As far as download speeds that might not be a problem a h264 version of 1080p is 6 Gigs or less and the ability to stream 20 seconds of program to 1 second real time requires 256k.
This compression format is version 1.03 and looks as good as 1080i/720P Bluray

Sandisk will be releasing a 128GB cruzer enhanced for video.
Insiders tell me that Blockbuster is testing a 1.2 GB per second quick load system for multiple USB3 type drives.
this will enable Blockbuster to open photomat sized showrooms for quick movie rental.

[tvine2000]

Originally Posted by nedrudrelyt

Blo Ray will be done in four years. New release prices are a joke...and they haven't rushed proper blockbuster films to market in time for people to buy them all over again. Lord of the Rings will be the beginning of the end. Not releasing the LOTR films in the extended versions first is the dumbest thing I have ever seen. People will wait...and wait...and it will all be over. Leave it to the idiots at Sony.

i don't think so,blu-ray is here to stay a long time,mainly because the studio's are behind it.
if blu-ray was a waste of time they would have passed on it.

your statement about lotr's shows how much you don't know.
thats not the studio's call its peters jacksons call.

same deal with with lucas and starwars,some directors have the right to release what they want and when they want.
aside from how you feel about blu-ray it will go on.

[jbk]

I read a comment about blu ray from "endgaget" that purportedly quoted an NBA player saying that the Blu ray movies were to expensive. He thought DVD's upscaled were fine for the price and the picture quality.

There are two ways to market things: a few at high prices(nice if you are Ferarri) or lots at a low price(market share think honda). There are more people in the latter category than the former category.

People would be more inclined to adopt blu ray if the prices for player and software come down to the prices of up scaling dvd players and regular dvds.

Iin this economy people will be reluctant to adapt blu ray and the software because of price and no preceived improvement for the price.

Outside of forums like audio video revolution and some print magazines many people may not care or be aware.

My feeling is the manufacturers and movie studios haven't done a good job marketing blu ray.

JBK

[nedrudrelyt]

Originally Posted by tvine2000

i don't think so,blu-ray is here to stay a long time,mainly because the studio's are behind it.
if blu-ray was a waste of time they would have passed on it.

your statement about lotr's shows how much you don't know.
thats not the studio's call its peters jacksons call.

same deal with with lucas and starwars,some directors have the right to release what they want and when they want.
aside from how you feel about blu-ray it will go on.

Hard storage media is on it's way out. Panels are coming (LCD or otherwise) where one will be able to download full 1080p movies right to the tv. If Peter Jackson wants to hold his 'artistic integrity' and screw the fans out of the proper versions of the LOTR trilogy and the studio is dumb enough to back it, Then no sympathy will be availed.

You are missing the point. Now that Blo Ray has won the war they are using the opportunity to screw the fans and not giving them what they want. Poorer transfers, double-dipping (and they are telling us ahead they will double -dip) unreal new release prices etc..etc..etc. They just don't cater to the consumer and in this economic crunch time it couldn't be worse for Blo Ray but Sony and company will get what they deserve.

If the studios want to keep giving clowns like Lucas and Spielberg autonomy on release dates and such, that will hurt too. Blo might survive in some small form of niche surround music/video or such but it won't be long before they are pulling them off the shelves...and providing the consumer with something proper.