Blu-Ray vs DVD sales

[wes]

BLU RAYs are great beautiful picture and sound when downloads will have uncompressed sound that will be the death of physical media now all we need is terabytes of flash drives

[deacongreg]

Yes, The Dark Knight from all I`ve been told by friends and family that saw it, should do very well. I, somehow, missed seeing it in the theater. So, I`m looking forward to it coming out myself.

[HomeTech]

Where does this industry research come from anyway?? I would like to follow the money...probably backed by Sony in some way. I don't see support for this format much past the second quarter of 09. Enjoy while you can. Apple TV, Vudu, Roku are stealing market share so fast Blue Ray has no economically viable chance. Sony can keep throwing money at it, but their financials don't seem to be doing so great at the moment. Expect the plug to be pulled very soon!

[TheMoose]

Originally Posted by HomeTech

Where does this industry research come from anyway?? I would like to follow the money...probably backed by Sony in some way. I don't see support for this format much past the second quarter of 09. Enjoy while you can. Apple TV, Vudu, Roku are stealing market share so fast Blue Ray has no economically viable chance. Sony can keep throwing money at it, but their financials don't seem to be doing so great at the moment. Expect the plug to be pulled very soon!

The numbers come from http://www.homemediamagazine.com/.

That's kinda paranoid thinking isn't it?
You realize Sony isn't the sole patent holder on Blu-Ray don't you?
There is more than 1 company with a stake in Blu-Ray.

Downloads are coming but they won't take over until the majority of people can download a HD 1080p movie with lossless audio in less than 1 hour (which means they can stream it with no waiting).
With my 3mb DSL it takes me 7 hours to download a 1080i movie with lossy audio.
Downloads have a long way to go.

Blu-Ray has been averaging 10% market share for the 4th quarter & is growing a a good pace.
I think Blu-Ray will be around a long time.

[HomeTech]

Originally Posted by TheMoose

The numbers come from http://www.homemediamagazine.com/.

Downloads are coming but they won't take over until the majority of people can download a HD 1080p movie with lossless audio in less than 1 hour (which means they can stream it with no waiting).
With my 3mb DSL it takes me 7 hours to download a 1080i movie with lossy audio.

They have already "taken over", and the "majority of people" really dont care about 1080p and losless audio. The "minority" of people care about this stuff, NOT the "majority". Until you consider this as fact, you will not understand why its going away.

I'm not arguing the technical merits from one to the other, hands down Blue Ray is Superior in so many ways. Please dont bother listing them for me. I sell this stuff, install it, and get it.

Did SACD stay a viable format, NOPE. Not because it was not technically superior. Because the vast majority of people DO NOT CARE. They want convenience, and THAT is exactly what they will have whether we "like" it or not.

Blue Ray will slowly pass away as Apple TV and others like it get "good enough" for coporations to make "serious money".

This is all reminiscent of the Ipod and Itunes with people complaining that this artist was not on board or that artist. The Itunes Revenue Machine is in HIGH gear now. Audio and Video.

[TheMoose]

Originally Posted by HomeTech

They have already "taken over", and the "majority of people" really dont care about 1080p and losless audio. The "minority" of people care about this stuff, NOT the "majority". Until you consider this as fact, you will not understand why its going away.

I'm not arguing the technical merits from one to the other, hands down Blue Ray is Superior in so many ways. Please dont bother listing them for me. I sell this stuff, install it, and get it.

Did SACD stay a viable format, NOPE. Not because it was not technically superior. Because the vast majority of people DO NOT CARE. They want convenience, and THAT is exactly what they will have whether we "like" it or not.

Blue Ray will slowly pass away as Apple TV and others like it get "good enough" for coporations to make "serious money".

This is all reminiscent of the Ipod and Itunes with people complaining that this artist was not on board or that artist. The Itunes Revenue Machine is in HIGH gear now. Audio and Video.

Do you think "the majority of people" are going to have there home theaters networked or even know how to set up an AppleTV or other download box?
I don't think so.
Until download speeds for "the majority of people" get a lot faster & "the majority of people" get their systems networked downloads will not over take Blu-ray.
Between my family, friends & the people I work with only 2 of us have networked home theaters, that's a pretty small percentage that is even able to download movies.